Corporate bond markets need more transparency – not less

The prices dealers quote on electronic venues such as Tradeweb and MarketAxess are indicative and only valid for small-size tickets. The real market for institutional block trades tends to be far from the screen price. The lack of dependable data makes it difficult to agree prices and execute orders quickly, especially during times of market…

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Banks Struggle to Manage Technical Debt When Dealing with AI, Data Science

Managing technical debt, in the development of new AI models, can be expensive and can lead to significant cost overages throughout the project. This is primarily driven by the need for AI models to scale and adjust to different market conditions, liquidity and volatility situations, where vastly different data volumes and modelling approaches are required. …

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India Bond Traders Are on Edge Amid Conflicting RBI Signals

In emerging market news, India bond traders are on edge amid conflicting Reserve Bank of India signals. Just days after announcing measures to lower yields, the RBI has given traders signals about their reluctance in pushing rates down further. This stems from the RBI going back on their word and purchasing bonds at higher than…

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A Red-Hot Treasury Trade Starts to Unwind Every New York Morning

With the Federal Reserve expected to take a more relaxed approach on inflation, something that became known at the virtual Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th, bond traders have since been positioning for a steeper yield curve. Overbond AI models optimize curve flattening and steepening on corporate spreads and sovereign underlying benchmarking against a large number of…

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Fed Seen Holding Rates at Zero for Five Years in New Policy

A low-yield environment is here to stay. The US Federal Reserve looks likely to keep short-term interest rates near zero for five years or possibly more. This brings upon certain challenges for investors looking for higher fixed-income yields. Use Overbond’s Similar Bond Screening feature to identify the highest-yielding bonds with optimal liquidity profiles. Source: Bloomberg…

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Defaults in China’s US$4.1 trillion corporate bond market could hit record high this year as recovery remains fragile

With the Chinese economy in a precarious situation, some fund managers are bracing for defaults on domestic Chinese debt to hit record highs this year. The situation is similar in the West, with US corporations already experiencing a slew of downgrades and defaults. Monitor and sidestep these delinquencies with Overbond’s Probability of Default feature that measures company…

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Investors Are Ramping Up Bets Against Bonds in the ETF Market

The all-around bullishness in fixed income ETFs may be coming to an end. With traders newly shorting $544 million worth of LQD, the ETF dipped 1.2% over the past month after gaining 19% since March 23rd. KatherineGreifeld states in an article published by Bloomberg: “Short sellers may be thinking that the yield curve has bottomed out…

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Inflation Shock Will Hit India, Russia, Mexico Bonds Hardest

If the recent spike up in U.S. inflation numbers is a sign of things to come for global markets, that could prove especially bad news for debt investors in certain EM markets like Indian, Russian and Mexican. Message us to learn to monitor macro risk factors using Overbond’s market surveillance tools. Source: Bloomberg The fixed-income…

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Buy-side issues framework to standardise bond issuance

The Credit Roundtable, a buy-side lobby group for bondholder protection has issued an ‘Investment Grade Primary Best Practices Framework’ designed to improve bond issuance. The measures are meant to standardize a process that has been historically fraught with inefficiency and unnecessary costs to investment managers. This is an issue Overbond is very familiar; check in…

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