Trump and Biden are the ‘diametric opposites’ of what the US economy needs

With the US Presidential election just around the corner, markets are poised to experience increased volatility. Saxo Bank’s chief economist, Steen Jakobsen, stated that both Trump and Biden would spend huge amounts of money and lean on the Fed for supporting easy financing conditions and neither of them would seek deep reform. Regardless of who…

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Goldman Sees $470 Billion Boost to ECB Pandemic Bond Buying

With Euro-zone inflation weakening further last week, forecasts for ECB’s emergency asset-purchasing program (PEPP) are expecting the program to be extended until the end of 2021, according to Goldman Sachs. The shifting expectations for the program will surely cause short-term volatility in the EU bond market. Navigate the changing sentiment in the market and anticipate…

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Corporate bond markets need more transparency – not less

The prices dealers quote on electronic venues such as Tradeweb and MarketAxess are indicative and only valid for small-size tickets. The real market for institutional block trades tends to be far from the screen price. The lack of dependable data makes it difficult to agree prices and execute orders quickly, especially during times of market…

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Trading automation is needed in fixed income, but where will the data come from?

Currently, the only solution in the marketplace that shows what bonds have traded and at what prices across various trading venues that also includes the Over-The-Counter (OTC) trading volumes, is “client side data aggregation”. This involves aggregating data feeds from various providers internally. Up until a few years ago, it wasn’t possible to process, map…

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Defaults in China’s US$4.1 trillion corporate bond market could hit record high this year as recovery remains fragile

With the Chinese economy in a precarious situation, some fund managers are bracing for defaults on domestic Chinese debt to hit record highs this year. The situation is similar in the West, with US corporations already experiencing a slew of downgrades and defaults. Monitor and sidestep these delinquencies with Overbond’s Probability of Default feature that measures company…

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Investors Are Ramping Up Bets Against Bonds in the ETF Market

The all-around bullishness in fixed income ETFs may be coming to an end. With traders newly shorting $544 million worth of LQD, the ETF dipped 1.2% over the past month after gaining 19% since March 23rd. KatherineGreifeld states in an article published by Bloomberg: “Short sellers may be thinking that the yield curve has bottomed out…

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Inflation Shock Will Hit India, Russia, Mexico Bonds Hardest

If the recent spike up in U.S. inflation numbers is a sign of things to come for global markets, that could prove especially bad news for debt investors in certain EM markets like Indian, Russian and Mexican. Message us to learn to monitor macro risk factors using Overbond’s market surveillance tools. Source: Bloomberg The fixed-income…

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Buy-side issues framework to standardise bond issuance

The Credit Roundtable, a buy-side lobby group for bondholder protection has issued an ‘Investment Grade Primary Best Practices Framework’ designed to improve bond issuance. The measures are meant to standardize a process that has been historically fraught with inefficiency and unnecessary costs to investment managers. This is an issue Overbond is very familiar; check in…

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Using machine learning to explain extreme price moves

Data is abundant, not only in volume, but also in the number of sources it is derived from, the frequency at which it is updated, and the variety of formats it may take. Time spent sorting through that data, however, can keep businesses from generating actionable information at pace. Ask us how we can help…

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