Has the yield curve predicted the next US downturn?

We are witnessing another U.S inverted yield curve for the first time since the 2007 recession. Could this be a signal towards the next US downturn? Source: Financial Times Alan Greenspan, the then Federal Reserve chairman nicknamed The Oracle for his economic soothsaying, told the US Senate on July 21 2005 to disregard an obscure…

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Bond yields are an even bigger market risk than bitcoin, according to a Wall Street strategist

 Joe Zidle, a portfolio strategist at Richard Bernstein Advisors, believes that investors are going into 2018 assuming that rising bond yields — which move inversely of prices and affect consumer borrowing costs — will stay low. Source: CNBC Forget bitcoin — the biggest risk to stocks next year will actually be the bond market. That’s…

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Post-Crisis Regulations Constrain Bond Activity, Says Federal Reserve

NY Fed findings say reforms including the Dodd-Frank Act and Basel III regulation have constrained banks in their ability to trade corporate bonds, leading to “adverse impact” on bond-level liquidity. Source: Financial Times Regulations designed to safeguard the US from another financial crisis have damped corporate bond trading activity, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of…

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Digitization in FICC Will Benefit All Parties Involved

The FICC market (fixed income, currencies and commodities) is moving towards digitization and automation Source: eFinancialCareers Last month, the U.S. federal reserve raised interest rates for the second time in three months, the first of three rate hikes expected in 2017. While other markets — Japan, Europe and Canada — are maintaining record-low rates, inflation in…

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Why the Refinancing Slowdown Matters for the Fed

The Fed is expected to slow down their purchase of agency mortgage-backed securities thanks to the refinancing slowdown Source: The Wall Street Journal The Federal Reserve has been buying up fewer mortgage bonds in recent months thanks to a flameout of the American refinancing boom, one factor that economists say is likely to help shape Fed…

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